Why a proposed Congress-AAP alliance in Delhi was no match to BJP



Delhi Election Results: Delhi chief minister Arvind Kejriwal, who brought down the BJP to dust in 2015 assembly election by winning 67 of total 70 seats in the national capital, was unsure of his partys chances in this Lok Sabha election from the beginning. He tried to join hands with the Congress to jointly take on the might of the BJP in the national capital. It was simple poll arithmetic that was bringing them closer However, a protracted negotiation between the parties to iron out the differences over the seat sharing eventually failed on April 22, just a day before the last date for filing the nomination in Delhi. A careful scrutiny of election results shows that the proposed AAP-Congress alliance would have proved completely ineffective in the face of BJPs victorious march in the national capital. READ ALSO: Nine former Congress chief ministers lose Lok Sabha election in second Modi wave In this Lok Sabha election, BJPs vote share in all seven Lok Sabha seats in national capital is comfortably more than the combined vote share of both Aam Aadmi Party and the Congress. In Chandni Chowk Lok Sabha seat, BJP candidate and sitting union minister Dr Harsh Vardhan bagged 52.94% popular votes, 8.53% more votes than the combined vote share of Congress candidate JP Agarwal (29.67%) and Pankaj Kumar Gupta (14.74%). Chandni Chowk is the only seat where the difference between the popular votes bagged by the BJP and combined votes polled by the Congress-AAP is less than 10%. In six other seats, the gap is in double digits. And in two seats READ ALSO: Rahul Gandhi35% popular votes, 13.67% more than the combined votes polled by the Congress candidate Arvinder Singh Lovely (24.24%) and AAP candidate Atishi (17.44%). Similarly, in North East Delhi Lok Sabha seat, BJP candidate and its state president Manoj Tiwari polled 53.9% popular votes, 13.06% more than the combined votes polled by the Congress candidate Sheila Dikshi, a three-time former Delhi chief minister (28.85%) and AAP candidate Dilip Pandey (13.06%). In high profile New Delhi Lok Sabha seat, BJP candidate Meenakshi Lekhi bagged 54.77% popular votes as against 43.24% votes jointly polled by former union minister Ajay Makan (26.91%), AAP candidate Brijesh Goyal (16.33%), a gain of 11.53% over the combined vote share of both AAP and the Congress. READ ALSO: EXCLUSIVE: AAP can defeat BJP, Congress in Delhi; Raghav Chaddha says party67%. While Bidhuri got 56.58% popular votes, Raghav Chadha got 26.35% and Congress candidate, boxer Vijender Singh got just 13.56% popular votes. There are two Lok Sabha seats In North West Delhi Lok Sabha seat, while BJP candidate and singer Hans Raj Hans polled 60.49% popular votes due to a strong wave in favor of Prime Minister Modi, Aam Aadmi Party candidate Gugan Singh got 21.01% votes and Congress candidate Rajesh Lilothia came at the third spot by bagging just 16.88% votes. BJPs vote share is 22.6% more than the combined vote share of Congress-AAP (37.89%) in North West Delhi seat. READ ALSO: BJP is facing tough battle, Congress is winning all 7 seats in Delhi, says Ajay Maken In 2014, there was only one BJP candidate, Parvesh Sahib Singh Verma, who had polled more popular votes than the combined votes polled by the Congress and Aam Aadmi Party. Parvesh Verma was able to repeat his spectacular win in this Lok Sabha election too as he bagged 60.05% popular votes, 22.68% more than the combined votes polled by the Congress candidate Mahabal Mishra (19.92%) and Aam Aadmi Party candidate Balbir Jakhar (17.47%). Arvind Kejriwals eagerness to enter into a pre-poll alliance with the Congress in Delhi was understandable as he was working on the same formula adopted by Mayawati and Akhilesh Yadav in Uttar Pradesh. Though, AAP-Congress pre-poll alliance in Delhi did not materialise but it was also based on the false assumption that any two parties having won more popular votes than their common rival in any previous election will be able to beat their rival by joining hands. This assumption is based on the wrong premise that the alliance partners will not only be able to retain their votes in future elections but they will also be able to transfer their votes to each other against a common foe. In Uttar Pradesh, the same premise brought Akhilesh Yadav and Mayawati together as the combined vote share of SP-BSP in 2014 Lok Sabha poll was more than that of the BJP in 41 seats in the state. However, SP-BSP-RLD Mahagathbandhan proved ineffective against Prime Minister Modi. And given the margin of BJPs victory in all seven seats, it is clear that the proposed AAP-Congress alliance in Delhi would have met the same fate. READ ALSO:Modi clear choice of voters despite Rahul Gandhi\u2019s negative campaign, says Rajeev Chandrasekhar